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Can Dogecoin Return to $1 in 2025?
Dogecoin (DOGE) is at a crucial turning point. On one hand, technical indicators like RSI suggest a possible 500%+ rally, but on the other, June’s historical performance points to weakness. The question remains: can DOGE return to its all-time high of $0.73 amidst these mixed signals?
RSI Signals Bullish Momentum Similar to 2024 The weekly DOGE chart shows a striking similarity to the pattern seen in mid-2024, when RSI briefly crossed above 50 before retreating, followed by a 500% surge from $0.08 to $0.48. A similar RSI pattern is forming now. If history repeats itself, Dogecoin could soar to $1.23 in the coming months, surpassing its previous ATH. However, such a move would likely take time, just like the previous uptrend.
But June Has Historically Been a Weak Month June is statistically one of DOGE's worst-performing months, with eight consecutive years of losses between 2017 and 2024. As of now, June 2025 has only brought a modest +1.8% gain.
With this pattern in mind, a major breakout this month seems unlikely, especially if the market continues to mirror seasonal trends.
Best Time for a Rally? Likely Q4 2025 Dogecoin’s strongest shot at reclaiming ATH may come in Q4 2025, a period when most cryptocurrencies historically recover. If the 500% uptrend outlined in the RSI materializes then, DOGE could top $1 before the year ends.
28% of Holders Are Underwater – A Sign of a Bottom? The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) metric shows that DOGE investors from the past year are down by around 28%. Such deeply negative readings often signal an accumulation phase and a potential bottom. This exact scenario played out before DOGE’s last big rally. Though recovery may take months, the setup indicates a possible long-term bullish breakout.
Summary: Big Potential, but Patience Needed Technical signals suggest Dogecoin could climb past $1 again, especially if the RSI and MVRV history repeats. But June remains a historically weak month, and DOGE must hold above $0.13 to preserve the bullish outlook.
#Dogecoin , #DOGE , #memecoin , #CryptoMarket , #CryptoPredictions
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