#美联储5月利率预测# the probability that the Fed's interest rate will remain unchanged in May is as high as 92.3%, what impact will it have on the financial market and the crypto market?

The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds interest rate unchanged during its monetary policy meeting in May 2025, and this decision had various impacts on the financial markets and the crypto market. Here is a specific analysis:

1 The impact on the financial market
Short-term market volatility decreases: After the interest rate decision aligns with market expectations, investors' risk preferences tend to become cautious, and mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin may stabilize in price. For example, Bitcoin first pulled back to support levels after the interest rate decision was announced, and then rebounded due to the release of dovish signals.
Medium-term policy expectation game: Although the probability of maintaining the Interest Rate in May remains high, the market has begun to price in the possibility of a rate cut. If The Federal Reserve (FED) signals a "wait and see on inflation data," altcoins may experience volatility due to speculative funds betting on a policy shift.
Changes in Money Flows and Market Behavior: The increased attractiveness of US dollar assets in a high-interest rate environment may lead to some capital flowing back from cryptocurrencies to traditional financial markets. Stablecoins such as USDT may face short-term volatility.
2 Impact on the crypto market
Impact of Low Interest Rate Environment: A low interest rate environment often encourages investors to seek high-risk, high-return assets, including Bitcoin and other encryption currencies. Maintaining interest rates may bolster market confidence in risk assets, further driving funds into the crypto market.
Price Action: The impact of unchanged Fed interest rates on the crypto market can be analyzed from three dimensions: short-term, medium-term and market behavior.
In the short term, the price may stabilize.
In the medium term, the policy expectation game will continue to affect the market;
In terms of market behavior, capital flow and investor sentiment will directly affect market prices.
Overall, the Federal Reserve's decision to keep the interest rate unchanged has alleviated concerns about liquidity tightening in the short term. However, attention still needs to be paid to inflation data and signals of policy shifts in the medium to long term, and the market may exhibit a volatile upward trend.