ETH/USDT Perptual Futures 15-Minute Strategy Analysis (Based on Data from August 2, 2025, 21:15)


Core Logic: Volume contraction builds a bottom for rebound, relying on strong support for low absorption.
Key Data Analysis
Price Dynamics:
Closed at 3506.68 (up 0.13%), with a fluctuation of 0.16% (3501.54-3507.28), with 3501.54 forming a double bottom support.
Support: 3501.54 (intraday low), 3495 (bullish zone); Resistance: 3507.28 (intraday high), 3515 (moving average resistance).
Chart signals: Three consecutive "buy" markers near 3500, indicating clear intentions of institutional support.
Indicator signal:
MACD Golden Cross Confirmation: DIF ( 0.79) crosses above DEA ( -1.17), MACD histogram turns red ( 3.92), bullish momentum starts.
Volume risk: 3,994 (less than 20% of the 5-day average volume of 19K), needs increased volume to confirm the validity of the rebound.
Low-risk strategy: precise low absorption at support levels, taking profit on low volume surges.
Long Entry Conditions (Unique Strategy):
The price retraces to 3502-3503 (above the previous low) and stabilizes, while the MACD red bars continue to expand.
Target: 3507 → 3512 (1x amplitude).
Stop Loss: 3498 (breaks previous low +0.1%).
Breakthrough follow-up order conditions:
Volume breakout at 3510 (VOLUME>8,000), chase long to 3518 (previous high extension).
Timeliness and Risk Control
Operating window: 21:30-22:00 (Saturday night session has low liquidity, only betting on technical rebounds).
Holding time: ≤15 minutes, profit reaches 5 USD for full take profit (to avoid holiday liquidity risks).
Position management: ≤2% of total funds, profit-loss ratio ≥5:1 (stop loss $1.5, take profit $7.5).
Strategy Advantage: Utilize the strong support of 3500 + MACD golden cross resonance, with odds as high as 1:5; the extreme low volume environment reduces the risk of false breakouts.
Risk Warning: If it does not reach 3502 before 22:00 or the trading volume remains < 4,000, firmly abandon the trade!
Action Summary:
① Unique Strategy: Long with a light position at 3502.5, stop loss at 3498, target 3507→3512.
② Breakthrough follow-up: Increase volume to break 3510 and follow up to 3518, do not add to the same position. #6 BTC全民空投限时派送中# #Gate Alpha积分撸40U# #白宫加密报告发布#
ETH5.56%
BTC1.12%
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