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The crypto market was unclear before September; AI and Bitcoin may become new investment hotspots.
Crypto Assets Market Analysis and Future Trends Outlook
Recent market observations indicate that the overall trend of Crypto Assets may not become clear until after September. Considering factors such as macroeconomic headwinds, summer liquidity constraints, and quarterly position adjustments, the real market dynamics may only become apparent after the August holidays end and market participants return.
In the recent market activity, most altcoins have risen primarily due to short squeeze. Traders, influenced by the previous rebound, are chasing short-term momentum but lack support from long-term holders. Many tokens have experienced a similarly sharp decline after a steep rise.
Ethereum experienced an unexpected rebound, led by AI and certain coin sectors. In contrast, tokens with real use cases, strong fundamentals, or buyback mechanisms displayed greater resilience, being more stable during the downturn and recovering faster. Projects like Syrup, Hype, and AAVE have exemplified this characteristic.
Market Insights
1. The demand for Bitcoin continues to grow.
Traditional capital is gradually entering the market through regulated channels such as ETFs. The nature of the capital supporting Bitcoin is significantly different from previous periods, which reduces the likelihood of large-scale liquidation unless influenced by significant macro events.
2. The differentiation of altcoins intensifies
Future funds may flow back to altcoins, but it will not be comprehensive. Only tokens with clear use cases and practical application scenarios can attract capital inflow. This is also one of the reasons why Ethereum may outperform other public chains. Regulatory clarity, increased usage of decentralized finance, deflationary structures, and staking demand together create a strong positive cycle.
3. Some tokens face structural risks
Token unlocks will continue to exert pressure on prices. When liquidity is insufficient, the ongoing selling pressure from validators and early investors may limit the upside potential. Tokens from certain ecosystems may face greater ongoing selling pressure, which is related to their validator reward structure.
4. Advantages and Limitations of Certain Token Types
Some tokens may perform well in the short term due to their structural characteristics (such as fair launch, risk-free investment unlock, etc.). However, this trend may be nearing its end. In the future, only projects with strong narratives and market recognition are likely to have real speculative value.
5. Emerging Opportunities
As the market's enthusiasm for certain types of tokens wanes, fairly launched Web2/3 projects may become the next wave of wealth creation opportunities. To seize these opportunities, it is essential to actively participate in on-chain activities and pay attention to the potential gains brought by information asymmetry.
Future Trends Outlook
The combination of AI and Crypto Assets may become the next important trend. While many early AI projects failed after the hype, projects that are truly based on practicality are quietly being built in this market environment. As certain hot areas cool down, investors' attention may naturally shift to new narratives. With its clear practicality, AI is likely to become the next investment hotspot.
Many AI projects combined with Crypto Assets adopt a fair launch model, which echoes the market's enthusiasm for certain successful cases. Although there is no rush to establish full positions now, if the market experiences a strong rise again, this field may contain the largest asymmetric opportunities.
Overall, the market is undergoing a transformation period. Investors need to remain vigilant and focus on projects with real application value and strong fundamentals, while also keeping an open mind towards emerging trends.
Persistent and calm value investor
ETH & LDO Maxi
Adhere to cyclical investment, oppose momentum investing
Faith in Lido & StakeWise
Personal: Only follow predictable trends
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