The mindset of holding Ethereum Spot and the downward expectation strategy after breaking the trading range.
The core logic and the underlying logic of Spot holding.
• The anti-risk nature of Spot: "Spot is not afraid, it will not go to zero" - Compared to leveraged trading, Spot can better withstand short-term fluctuations and does not require excessive panic due to short-term declines, but one must remain vigilant to trend changes;
• The human trap of chasing highs and cutting losses: not buying at $1800-2300 but rushing to buy at $3500 is essentially the "hunger marketing" effect driven b

Bitcoin small-scale the trading range fluctuations and mid-game break trading strategy
The core logic and the rationality of the bull market correction
• Resilience of the trend and halftime: The bull market is not over, it's just a correction after the rise — "After a long rise, it will get tired," a correction is a healthy rhythm, and once a trend is formed, it is difficult to change easily, no need to panic excessively;
• Constraints of the small trading range: A 15-minute level break above the trading range will shift into oscillation within the lower trading range. With low liquidity on

The stepped decline of Ethereum after the triangle breakout and the Fibonacci target risk strategy.
The core logic and the weak essence behind "Nianba".
• Triangle breakdown and support failure: The hourly triangle has been broken down, and the support at $3741 (which was once a strong resistance) failed to rebound — "going up is difficult" has become a reality. After the support and resistance switched, $3741 has turned into a strong resistance, and it is difficult to change the previous downward trend without a breakthrough; the stepwise decline corresponds to the previous stepwise rise, an

Bitcoin small-level W bottom construction and daily chart moving average breakout pullback risk strategy
Core logic and understanding of the essence of decline
• Accepting the reality of trading mentality: Holding onto losing positions is essentially an "acceptable choice"; if one truly cannot bear it, they would have already cut losses—traders must face the results directly, rather than finding "negative reasons" for a decline; the market's own trend ("the drop cannot be stopped") is the core.
• Resonance risk of multi-period signals: The 15-minute level needs to break the neckline to form

Ethereum 3741 support break down rebound opportunities and downside risk strategies
The core logic and the warning of support breakdown
• Impact of the 3741 support failure: The $3741, which was previously regarded as "hard support," has been breached. If it cannot be quickly reclaimed, the probability of "going cold" significantly increases—if it breaks below $3615 on the 4-hour chart, it will test $3505, showing obvious weak characteristics;
• Limitations of the Rebound: The current rebound is only a short-term correction, and it needs to break through 3693 USD to open up space, targeting

Bitcoin wedge and the trading range double break position missing pressure and stop-loss signal strategy
The core logic and the continuation of the bearish trend with lower lows
• Double breakdown and gap risks: Hourly wedge and the trading range have both been broken, with lower lows appearing, indicating a clear bearish trend; the $114,000 gap remains unfilled, becoming a looming threat—if it temporarily breaks below $113,827 and then recovers, it could simultaneously fill the gap and form a short-term bottom; if it breaks down without recovery, it will directly target $112,000, and a 4-hou

The wedge breakout opportunity and key support bottoming strategy of Ethereum data under weekly fluctuations.
Core logic and risk response during the data week
• Data release fluctuation warning: This week is data week (including tonight's 8:30 PCE and unemployment claims data), fluctuations are intensifying, and "spikes" are likely to occur—it's recommended to close positions 1 hour before the data release or not to open new positions to avoid being stopped out by intermediate fluctuations, and to wait for opportunities after the U.S. stock market opens to reduce emotional trading;
• Fibona

The key game of the breakout opportunity and the daily chart boundary of the Bitcoin trading range.
Core logic and directional selection pressure of the 17-day consolidation.
• Preliminary signal of a triangle convergence breakout: Hourly breakout of the triangle pattern with the emergence of a small higher point. If there is a further breakout at the white/yellow arrow position and it does not fall back into the triangle, it will rely on the upper boundary of the triangle for consolidation before surging, with hopes of breaking away from the 117000-119800 dollar consolidation zone; falling b

Ethereum W-bottom formation criteria and $3900 impact strategy
The key breakout level of the core logic and W-bottom.
• The prerequisite for the formation of an hourly-level W bottom: it must break through $3855, otherwise the pattern is invalid — only after breaking through can the upward trend continue, targeting $3900 and the previous high/new high; if it cannot break through, it will maintain oscillation, with insufficient upward momentum;
• Short-term significance of $3866: Holding this position is the foundation for a push to $3900, resonating with the breakout of W bottom at $3855. Ag

Bitcoin's July closure sees downward risk in high and low points within a wide fluctuation and a short long constraint strategy.
The core logic and the continuation of weakness after the early morning spike.
• Bearish signal of double downtrend: Hourly highs are continuously decreasing, and lows are getting lower, forming a weak downward trend—going long is only limited to short-term trades, and it is not advisable to "hold the pattern"; the low point during the early morning spike is the short-term bottom line; if it holds, it may form a short-term bottom, but if broken, the downward trend c

Will Old Bao cause some trouble tonight?

Ethereum 3743 support validity test and stepwise pressure breakthrough strategy
Core logic and extreme testing of support levels
• The resilience and hidden dangers of the 3743 support: Multiple tests have rebounded, indicating strong short-term support, but "if the rebound cannot break through $3875," it will deplete its support strength— the third test is likely to break, which follows the rule of "the same support failing after multiple tests"; caution is needed for the accelerated decline after support exhaustion.
• The blocking effect of step pressure: Hourly levels of 3845-3874-3913 US

Bitcoin triangle breakout interval compression and filling downside risk strategy
Confirmation of core logic and weak pattern
• Bearish signal of a triangle breakdown: The hourly triangle has been broken, with the highs continuing to lower and new lows being created—this is by no means a strong rhythm. If the price cannot reclaim inside the triangle, then "continuing to drop is the only option"; even if it reclaims, not making a new high would only result in a consolidation, which is unlikely to change the weakness;
• Direction selection for range compression: The range of 117053-118185 USD

Conditions for Establishing Ethereum Weekly W Bottom and Risk Strategy for Support Testing Under Bearish Flag
The core logic and the decisiveness of the $4000 neckline.
• The prerequisite for the formation of a weekly W bottom: must break through the $4000 neckline, otherwise the pattern is invalid — this position is the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it holds, it is expected to touch the previous high; if it cannot break through, the hope for a previous high is shattered. Currently, this is the 4th attempt to break through, and it is difficult to hold without positive news; it is

The directional dilemma after the Bitcoin triangular convergence volume breakout and the fluctuation warning entangled with EMA.
The essence of core logic and sideways grinding
• Repeated triangle pattern and hidden risk of shrinking volume: After breaking out of the triangle at the 4-hour level, it fell back, and the subsequent breakout was accompanied by a rise in shrinking volume—breakouts without volume support are hard to sustain. If the rebound does not break the high point of the left yellow arrow, it will return to oscillation within the triangle; moreover, above 119500 dollars, there

The weak strategy under the relay consolidation after the Ethereum bearish flag breakout and the impact of the exchange rate.
The core logic and the falling drive of the flag breakout.
• Effectiveness of the bearish flag breakout: A significant volume drop below the flag on an hourly basis, with no rebound reclaiming the interior, confirms the continuation of the downtrend—support at $3741 temporarily halts the decline, indicating a consolidation in a downtrend; if it cannot hold, it will test the position indicated by the right-side yellow arrow, showing clear signs of weakness;
• The linka