Really cool to see $ETH at this value, with these data points
It will either stall for a month or so once we reach ATH or just continue melting up
$ETH can 3x from here and still be well under $BTC marketcap
Literally just need to wait and respect the higher time frame trend now.
You can see last cycle when the monthly is bull running, it doesn’t give you an entry. It forces every participant to chase

$ETHA Monthly Bollinger bands
Finally lining up for the bull run trend, whereby price action rides the upper band into price discovery

$ETH looking increasingly likely first scenario will run, without a full sweep
That’s two support tests with a slight higher low and market seems LIVELY
Send it to $4800 by end of August please 🫡

Still waiting for one of these to manifest
A week or two of chop max, to get everyone calling tops
The wick didn’t get swept on first retrace, let’s see if that happens before U.S markets kick in
U.S markets probably likely to reverse the move to the upside, on assumption they have same buying behaviour as last week

Same expectations, just from this slightly higher area
Deviated the highs and back under resistance
Looking for the first wick sweep as a minimum, ideally we get the ema test and daily 7ema test to

Eth centric for next 6 months
Got a position in $LINK
Should be a double in store to ATH. Possibly $80-140 if it trends strongly, I don’t know what this alt season will look like
But I can see, which alts look like piggybacking $ETH and out performing it, Link looks to be one of them

$ETH melt up has began
Look at the past, when it runs, it RUNS
Doesn’t give you a dip. Going to be a very enjoyable remainder of 2025 if you’re in $ETH and it’s established alts 👌🏽
All key levels taken, only the ATH level remains to be tested

That was a decent run
Could keep running
But expecting to see minimum 1 of these levels swept before going higher in August
Original wick is still a target for a retracement before higher, but most bullish case is bouncing off $4070 and confirming resistance flipped as support
But i’m sure there’s a lot of late longs that need flushing before continuing

With this momentum and previous monthly moves, $ETH will break ATH this month.

It’s clear on CT not many people know how ridiculously bullish this weekly and 2weekly break is for $ETH

Looking for a sweep of $3780 on $ETH before breaking $4k

$ETH this is what we want to see
This could take until December 2026 or longer to materialise
It could materialise by end of year
The timeline is harder to predict but the TA, structure, RSI break on the monthly and 2W clearly shows, we’ll break soon
We might front run Q3 or maybe we reject $4k hard, doesn’t matter, Eth has now been consolidating for almost 5 years.
This is a must hold for any portfolio

Very confident and increasingly confident that $ETH has bottomed vs $BTC
Lowest ever RSI scores on macro at the reversal point, confident of the actual reversal a few months ago
Now it’s time to take action if you haven’t
$ETH and strong eth based alt coins will be good bets for next 3-12 months
Bitcoin will keep ticking up but the macro rotation IS in play

Nice developing PA on $BTC and $ETH
Bitcoin bounced on weekly 7ema area ✅
It’s also reclaiming the lost support and daily looks ready to run the highs (hinted by daily stoch rsi)
Eth is a little trickier, LTF successfully made a higher low, stopped out in profit on my short, due to that, I placed a long before the break (invalidation = validation of opposite plan)
Eth daily swept wicks and bounced off daily ema’s ✅
4h ema bull flip ✅
Daily stoch rsi leaving oversold, not as strongly as Bitcoin though
We could get another LTF retrace or consolidate until weekly 7ema catches up before runn

$ETH long worked out lovely
Currently from here a few scenarios
Reclaim of the wick was the entry and reversal confirmation of local lows
We either stall $3700 area and make a final low, or we head back to $3900-4000 area
There was pretty solid bear divs on 15m to catch the LTF local highs on the bounce (i have an active short from here)
I think August will chop, which means for me:
- run 3.9-4k and retrace to $3.3-3.5k area
Or
- make one more low to cause a summer capitulation, before running for new highs in Q4

$ETH diagonal break
Relief pump due
Be interesting to see how the weekly closes
So far all weekly reversal candles, have led to a decent correction, with no immediate new highs.
Something to keep in mind for August

$BTC As the asset matures and prices get higher, don’t forget the % move is what matters
Corrections should be shallower
A -20% correction is $98k
So far in this trend most corrections have been 23% area
The absolute numbers will seem larger, but % lower.
Either way, the accumulation in fear and long-term hold strategy for Bitcoin has never failed, ever.

Whew. Them daily bear divs are really kicking in hard
All local top signs were there, local top that is, not cycle top
Retrace anything $3.3-2.9k is fair game, especially if we get a good capitulation dump/wick
That’s only -25%, pretty standard in this market, -30% from highs is $2.7k

Was a little early on the trigger, wick has been taken
$3300 wick remains a downside target
Going to squeeze into Sunday night or just chop over the weekend